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Possible Halloween Scares For Markets And The Economy | Weekly Market Commentary | October 30, 2023

It’s a tradition here to write about what scares us around Halloween each year. The past few years have offered plenty of material to use in these annual commentaries, but with wars in Israel and Ukraine ongoing, Washington, D.C. dysfunction reaching new heights, the...

Can Something Good Come From A Crisis? | Weekly Market Commentary | October 23, 2023

Despite headwinds, the U.S. could experience structural changes in the labor market, residential real estate, and inflation as the post-pandemic economy progresses into the New Year. As markets adjust to a new regime, investors should recognize the economy is becoming...

Earnings Hope To Keep This One-Year Old Bull Market Going | Weekly Market Commentary | October 16, 2023

Earnings season has kicked off with several of the big banks and a handful of other blue-chip companies having already reported results for their calendar third quarters. The key headline this reporting season will be the (likely) end of the earnings recession. The...

Higher For Longer – Updating Our Treasury Forecast | Weekly Market Commentary | October 9, 2023

U.S. Treasury yields have seemingly been moving in one direction lately (higher), with the 30-year Treasury yield temporarily breaching 5% for the first time since 2007. The move higher in yields (lower in price) has been unrelenting, with intermediate and longer-term...

Prospects For a Fourth Quarter Rally | Weekly Market Commentary | October 2, 2023

After a difficult September for stocks, investors are surely ready to flip the calendar to October. That’s the month that kicks off the historically strong fourth quarter. Expecting this pattern to repeat this year is tricky given the overhang of a government...
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