One of the unchecked items is market breadth. Despite the recent rally, participation in the latest rebound has been underwhelming, raising questions over the sustainability of the advance. Second, 10-year Treasury yields remain in an uptrend, and until more technical evidence confirms the highs have been set, it may be challenging for stocks to maintain their upside momentum.
Research
Can Muni Investors Catch A Break? We Think So | Weekly Market Commentary | November 6, 2023
It’s been another volatile year for municipal (muni) investors this year. While generally outperforming U.S. Treasuries, the Bloomberg Muni Index is on track for its second calendar year of negative returns something that has never happened before.
Possible Halloween Scares For Markets And The Economy | Weekly Market Commentary | October 30, 2023
It’s a tradition here to write about what scares us around Halloween each year.
Can Something Good Come From A Crisis? | Weekly Market Commentary | October 23, 2023
Despite headwinds, the U.S. could experience structural changes in the labor market, residential real estate, and inflation as the post-pandemic economy progresses into the New Year.
Earnings Hope To Keep This One-Year Old Bull Market Going | Weekly Market Commentary | October 16, 2023
The October-November reporting season can be particularly interesting because full-year numbers are nearly locked in while more companies share thoughts on the year ahead. Here are several things we will be watching as reports stream in.
Higher For Longer – Updating Our Treasury Forecast | Weekly Market Commentary | October 9, 2023
U.S. Treasury yields have seemingly been moving in one direction lately (higher), with the 30-year Treasury yield temporarily breaching 5% for the first time since 2007.
Prospects For a Fourth Quarter Rally | Weekly Market Commentary | October 2, 2023
After a difficult September for stocks, investors are surely ready to flip the calendar to October. That’s the month that kicks off the historically strong fourth quarter.
Is India The New China? | Weekly Market Commentary | September 25, 2023
India has emerged as a compelling economic growth story and an increasingly attractive alternative to China within the emerging markets complex. A growing population with a robust and young workforce, significant infrastructure spending, and an ongoing digital transformation have been key catalysts to India’s outperformance over China.
Buy Japan, Hold U.S., Sell Europe | Weekly Market Commentary | September 18, 2023
Recent data suggests economic conditions in Europe are deteriorating, removing a key element of LPL Research’s positive view of the attractively valued developed international equities asset class.
The Growing List -and Politicization- of BRICS and Friends | Weekly Market Commentary | September 11, 2023
The BRIC acronym, without the “S,” was introduced in 2001 by the Goldman Sachs chief economist who highlighted the prodigious growth and investment prospects of Brazil, Russia, India, and China combined.